Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000299 0.000335 0.000374 0.000419 0.000470 0.000526 0.000593
2025-01-12 0.000228 0.000277 0.000335 0.000410 0.000503 0.000617 0.000765
2025-01-19 0.000180 0.000233 0.000299 0.000390 0.000512 0.000672 0.000899
2025-01-26 0.000157 0.000213 0.000287 0.000394 0.000548 0.000761 0.001087
2025-02-02 0.000144 0.000204 0.000287 0.000413 0.000603 0.000883 0.001336
2025-02-09 0.000128 0.000187 0.000272 0.000408 0.000622 0.000953 0.001517
2025-02-16 0.000117 0.000176 0.000265 0.000412 0.000653 0.001043 0.001744
2025-02-23 0.000105 0.000164 0.000254 0.000408 0.000670 0.001113 0.001945
2025-03-02 0.000097 0.000155 0.000248 0.000410 0.000698 0.001204 0.002196
2025-03-09 0.000090 0.000147 0.000240 0.000409 0.000719 0.001283 0.002439
2025-03-16 0.000080 0.000134 0.000223 0.000391 0.000706 0.001298 0.002557
2025-03-23 0.000075 0.000128 0.000219 0.000393 0.000731 0.001388 0.002841
2025-03-30 0.000072 0.000126 0.000222 0.000409 0.000787 0.001551 0.003318
2025-04-06 0.000066 0.000118 0.000211 0.000401 0.000793 0.001614 0.003589
2025-04-13 0.000059 0.000107 0.000197 0.000381 0.000774 0.001621 0.003734
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000104 0.000194 0.000385 0.000806 0.001744 0.004180
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000103 0.000197 0.000403 0.000870 0.001950 0.004881
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000098 0.000191 0.000399 0.000883 0.002037 0.005287
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000095 0.000188 0.000402 0.000914 0.002175 0.005866
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000090 0.000183 0.000399 0.000928 0.002270 0.006341
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000088 0.000180 0.000401 0.000958 0.002412 0.006987
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000084 0.000176 0.000400 0.000978 0.002531 0.007594
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000078 0.000165 0.000382 0.000951 0.002517 0.007768